Erik Smolinski

A full-time discretionary options trader who reports consistently beating the S&P 500 and runs his trading as a business (outliertrading.io). He is the practitioner behind the H1-2026 after-action-review deck that Business Insider profiled smolinski-h1-2026-aar.

His stated method is heavily process-driven: a detailed trading plan and trading log, reviewed on a schedule through AARs built on freely available data (yfinance, FRED, the Cboe SKEW Index). His reported returns — +33.44% H1 2026 and +57.01% trailing-12-month, against 10.79% and 21.49% for the S&P — are self-reported and unaudited; the page records the method, not a verified track record.

He is this spoke’s first human discretionary trader node — a contrast to the automated systems (banbot, tensortrade, kronos-financial-foundation-model) that make up the founding corpus.

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smolinski-h1-2026-aar · after-action-review · market-regime-analysis